Open thread: Stupor Tuesday; Update: Newt wins GA; Update: Romney wins VA, VT, MA; Update: Santorum wins OK, TN; Update: Exit polls added
There are endless preview posts out there worth recommending but I’ll stick with two rather than inundate you. First, Guy Benson has a useful at-a-glance summary of which candidates are favored where, punctuated by the jump-ball states of Ohio and Tennessee. Whoever overperforms in those two will control the narrative tomorrow; if Romney wins both he’ll be touted as the de facto nominee, especially having now proved that he can win in the south. Second, refer to the charts in Nate Silver’s post for numerical benchmarks on how each candidate’s expected to do given current polling. Romney’s got a real shot at winning a majority of delegates tonight while Newt, because of his dominance in Georgia, could end up taking more delegates overall than Santorum. Any sharp deviations from those expectations may signal a new surge for one of them tomorrow or may even end a campaign. (If Gingrich somehow lost Georgia, which is unlikely in the extreme, he’s finished by his own admission.) As it is, 65 percent of Republican likely voters expect Romney will be the nominee compared to just 54 percent last week. The higher that number goes, the harder it is for Santorum and Gingrich to animate the base to stop him. In fact, no matter how Mitt does tonight, his campaign’s got a handy talking point for tomorrow: Realistically, it’s already too late for anyone else to win the nomination.
The bottom line here is that Romney has enough of a delegate advantage right now and especially coming out of today’s contests that it is very unlikely that anyone will catch him, much less catch him and get to 1144. The latter seems particularly far-fetched given the above scenarios. And that is a problem in this race. Well, a problem for Gingrich and Santorum anyway. If all either of them can take to voters is an argument that all they can do is prevent Romney from getting to 1144, then neither has a winning strategy. That sort of strategy has a half life; one that will grow less effective as, in this case, Romney approaches 1144. Complicating this scenario even further for Gingrich and Santorum is the fact that if neither can get to 1144 or even close to it, neither is all that likely to be the candidate to emerge as the nominee at any — unlikely though it may be — contested convention.
http://hotair.com/archives/2012/03/06/open-thread-stupor-tuesday/
LISTEN: Live Stream Salem Radio Coverage
Gingrich Wins Ga; Romney Wins Va, Mass & Vt
Santorum To Take Tn & Ok
WATCH: Romney Speech
(AP) — Mitt Romney is declaring “I’m going to get this nomination” as Republicans in 10 states had contests to pick a challenger to President Barack Obama.
Romney on Tuesday congratulated rivals Newt Gingrich for his win in home state Georgia and Rick Santorum for wins in Oklahoma and Tennessee. Contests were still going on elsewhere during the speech on the single largest day of voting so far in the nominating battle.
Romney told supporters that it’s been a long road getting to Super Tuesday and, in his words, “my opponents have worked very hard."
WATCH: Gingrich Wins Ga.
CNN @ Appx 12:30 AM PROJECTS A ROMNEY OHIO WIN.....
WATCH: Ron Paul
VIDEO: Newt Gingrich
WATCH: Santorum: this Was a Big Night
VIDEO: Romney: We Are Taking This Victory to the White House
Ten Interesting Results From Ohio Exits
Kucinich loses to Democrat Kaptur in Ohio primary, will take on 'Joe the Plumber'; newcomer upsets Republican Schmidt
COLUMBUS, Ohio – Veteran
Democratic U.S. Rep. Marcy Kaptur defeated congressional colleague
Dennis Kucinich in the battle for a newly drawn Ohio congressional
district and will face an unexpected yet well-known name from the 2008
presidential race -- "Joe the Plumber."
Kucinich was clearly not happy about his defeat.
"I would like to be able to congratulate
Congresswoman Kaptur but I do have to say she ran a campaign in the
Cleveland media market that was utterly lacking in integrity with false
statements, half-truths, misrepresentations. I hope that is not the kind
of representation she would provide to this community. And I don't
think the people of Toledo have any idea of the kind of campaign that
was run in the Cleveland area. And my own integrity requires me to just
say this: That's not all right."
BREAKING: BREITBART MYSTERY OBAMA TAPE TO BE AIRED TONIGHT ON HANNITY......
EDITED VIDEO HERE
As a former radio & newspaper man I will say that this is not an great expose that would bring down Obama...or even ding him...it's an empty video on an empty suit's show...
From empty suit...to sleeping beauty:
WATCH: Fox News Correspondent Seen Sleeping During Live Interview
I guess that's how boring even working at Fox can be...viewership down 8% on last Nielsen posted on Drudge.
Obama Loses 15 Counties In Okla Primary...Ant-Abortionist Gets Delegate
Super PAC Urges Gingrich to Drop Out
VIDEO: [P]MSNBC Hosts Grieve Over Kucinich Loss
Failed DOOMSDAY PASTOR Calls His Predictions Sinful
Ninety-year-old Harold Camping created a stir last year when he proclaimed that the world would be coming to a disastrous end on May 21, 2011. Some people spent their life’s savings in preparation for the purported day of reckoning, while others simply laughed him off. When the event didn’t come to pass, Camping doubled down, saying that his estimates were off and that the end times would come, instead, on October 21. Again, he was wrong.
BiBi's Gift to Barack: The Book of Esther
Senate Sends Message to Obama on Keystone
Thursday’s squeaker of a Senate vote on the Keystone XL pipeline serves both as a warning to President Barack Obama that a majority of both houses of Congress supports the pipeline and as encouragement to Republicans to keep pushing the issue.
Obama had personally lobbied Senate Democrats with phone calls urging them to oppose an amendment to the highway bill that would fast-track the Canada-to-Texas oil pipeline. And as it turned out, he needed every bit of their help.
Leftist professor and activist Frances Fox Piven last week predicted the Occupy Wall Street movement is entering the phase where it “makes trouble” and will soon be taking action against banks and other institutions.
“It may well be that the Occupy movement is now in its second phase, in the phase where it makes trouble, in the phase where it threatens to shut down institutions,” Piven said. “The Occupy movement has moved into the neighborhoods of our cities, it has moved into the schools….This spring, we’ll see action against the banks, against the corporations.”
She added, “It is going to be a spring with lots of protests that take different forms and engage lots of people.”
[Here We Go Again] Rush Limbaugh rips WaPo’s Alexandra Petri and her ‘b-i-itchy opinion’
Santorum wins Kansas GOP caucuses, gains blunted by Romney's island victories
Rick Santorum swept to victory in the Kansas
Republican presidential caucuses Saturday, marking his strongest caucus
finish yet but still struggling to make a dent in Mitt Romney's delegate lead.
With all precincts reporting, Santorum
dominated the race with 51 percent support. Romney trailed with 21
percent, followed by Newt Gingrich with 14 percent. Ron Paul was in last
place with 13 percent.
Of Kansas' total haul of 40 delegates,
Santorum picked up 33. He won another three in the latest round of
voting out of Wyoming.
I thought You would like to know...
ReplyDeleteA Brother's Love they shut down 2/11/12 and removed it 3/10/12 I had 56,00.
Your Brooklyn's Blurbs they removed it 3/10/12 and your count was 1,362,600
AdamsEve
It's a shame...even w/ some Christian sites--it's all about the money...
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